A Spatial Panel Analysis of Italian Regional Fertility

نویسندگان

  • Agnese Vitali
  • Francesco C. Billari
چکیده

Italy is a case study in lowest-low fertility. Its internal heterogeneity is substantial, and changing over time. While historically fertility was higher in the South, in recent years differentials have reversed. In this paper we adopt a macro-level perspective to investigate the convergence of regional fertility in Italy over the period 1952–2009. Then, we estimate a series of spatial panel regression models using fertility indicators as dependent variables, modelling spatial dependence in fertility among Italian provinces for the period 1999–2008. The relative effects on fertility of a selection of indicators are evaluated.

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تاریخ انتشار 2011